Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	4	0	0	13	5	8	5	-	3.7	1.6	1.3	-	-
Away	3	0	0	7	3	4	3	-	-	-	3.45	2.4	1.26

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.12	6	51	1	1.12	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +16.0% | EV +96.1% | ROI -100.0% | n=1 | k=6.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +19.5% | EV +46.8% | ROI +0.0% | n=1 | k=2.40

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.1% | EV +30.6% | ROI -100.0% | n=1 | k=6.00

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -6.3% | EV -23.3% | ROI -100.0% | n=1 | k=3.70

AI-agent: At the 82nd minute with Le Havre leading 4-3 against Metz, the market shows increased confidence in the home side, reflected by a 30% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Le Havre maintains a shot advantage consistent with pre-match expectations, though recent play lacks sustained pressure from either team. Historical data is limited and does not provide strong guidance for the away handicap +1 market. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1 as the best option with a significant edge and expected value, but entry conditions based on current score and match tempo are not met, so no bet is advised. The top markets suggest monitoring double chance on Metz and the away handicap, indicating a watchful approach rather than a mandatory stake, with risk control recommended given the close scoreline and match dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 82