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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	1.9	1.43	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	-	-	2.75	1.95

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.28	5.5	10	1.06	1.14	3.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.06	10

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.8% | EV +51.9% | ROI +191.7% | n=6 | k=3.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.9% | EV +32.8% | ROI +145.8% | n=6 | k=2.75

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +4.6% | EV +25.4% | ROI +266.7% | n=6 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.2% | EV +4.3% | ROI +95.0% | n=6 | k=1.95

AI-agent: At 17 minutes, Le Havre leads 2-1 against Metz, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 20% drop in odds from pre-match levels, but shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team. Recent play shows no sustained pressure from one side, and while Le Havre is more active than in their last meeting, the overall gameplay balance remains close. Historical data on similar scenarios suggests a strong chance (83.3%) for a draw or Metz win, with a high ROI, but the sample size is too small for full confidence. The model currently favors a double chance on Metz or draw with an attractive edge and expected value, yet entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not met, so no bet is advised now. The top markets recommend monitoring this situation rather than placing a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious risk management given the mixed signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 17