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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	8	3	5	4	-	2.08	1.48	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	1	-	-	-	-	2.6	1.73

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.28	5	12	1.04	1.17	3.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.14	5.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.2% | EV +49.6% | ROI +52.0% | n=99 | k=3.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.9% | EV +33.6% | ROI +44.2% | n=99 | k=2.60

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.4% | EV +26.9% | ROI +66.7% | n=99 | k=5.00

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.6% | EV +2.7% | ROI +28.9% | n=99 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, Le Havre leads Metz 2-1 in this Ligue 1 match. The market shows strong pressure towards a draw, with odds dropping 34% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. Le Havre, the pre-match favorite, maintains shot dominance, but recent play lacks sustained pressure from either side. Historical data on similar situations supports a double chance on Metz (X2) with a 43.4% probability and a positive ROI of 52%, though the historical check is solid but not definitive. The best model suggestion is X2 with an edge of +14.2% and expected value near +50%, yet the entry conditions are not fully met given the match tempo and score, so no bet is advised now. All top-4 markets recommend watching rather than betting, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm entry opportunity. Caution is advised, and bettors should wait for clearer confirmation before placing stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 45