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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	4	0	0	12	5	7	5	-	3.45	1.62	1.3	-	-
Away	3	0	0	7	3	4	2	-	-	-	3.45	2.35	1.3

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.17	5.5	34	1	1.14	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.8% | EV +73.8% | ROI -100.0% | n=1 | k=5.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.8% | EV +44.1% | ROI +0.0% | n=1 | k=2.35

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.7% | EV +31.2% | ROI -100.0% | n=1 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.2% | EV +1.5% | ROI +30.0% | n=1 | k=1.30

AI-agent: At 78 minutes, Le Havre leads Metz 4-3 with no red cards. The market increasingly favors the home side, reflected by a 27% drop in odds since pre-match, confirming their dominance in shots and pressure in recent play. Historical data is limited and does not provide strong guidance for the away handicap +1 market. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1 as the best option with a positive edge and expected value, but entry conditions based on current score and tempo are not met, so no bet is advised now. The top-4 markets suggest watching the away handicap +1 and double chance on the away team, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, with attention to risk management given the close scoreline and game dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 78