Match Replay

Step 14 of 83. Current minute: 16 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	1.7	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	-	-	-	2.1	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.3	3.6	2.88	1.36	1.25	1.53	1.04	13	1.25	4	1.73	2.1	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +8.8% | EV +25.3% | ROI +1.4% | n=1848 | k=2.88

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.4% | ROI +29.3% | n=1848 | k=2.10

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +2.9% | EV +4.5% | ROI +3.3% | n=1848 | k=1.53

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.9% | EV -3.6% | ROI +29.4% | n=1848 | k=4.00

AI-agent: At 16 minutes with a 0-0 score, the market shows no strong pre-match odds drop but clear pressure favoring the guests. Strasbourg is more active in shots and tempo compared to Lorient and their previous meeting ended 0-0. Historical data supports a 35.3% higher chance for an away win with a positive ROI of 1.4%, and the model shows an 8.8% edge and 25.3% expected value on a Strasbourg victory at odds of 2.88. However, the entry conditions are not fully met yet, so this is a watch situation rather than a bet. Risk control suggests monitoring the away win and under 2.5 goals markets, both showing slight positive edges, while avoiding low-value bets like under 1.5 goals currently.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387971 | minute: 16