Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	-	1.73	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	-	-	-	2.08	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.38	3.5	2.88	1.36	1.28	1.53	1.05	11	1.28	3.75	1.9	1.95	3.2	1.36

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +8.9% | EV +25.7% | ROI -0.3% | n=1673 | k=2.88

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.5% | ROI +25.4% | n=1673 | k=1.95

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.8% | EV +5.9% | ROI +3.5% | n=1673 | k=1.53

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -3.1% | ROI +30.5% | n=1673 | k=3.75

AI-agent: At the 20th minute with a 0-0 score, the market shows no strong signals or significant drop from pre-match odds, indicating balanced pressure. Strasbourg is more active in shots and overall play, outperforming their previous encounter, while Lorient is below their usual level. Historical data suggests a 34.7% chance for an away win but with a slightly negative ROI, making the historical edge weak. The model favors a Strasbourg win with an 8.9% edge and 25.7% expected value, but the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not met yet, so no bet is advised. Top-4 markets recommend watching the away win and under 2.5 goals options with moderate edges, emphasizing a monitoring approach rather than a mandatory bet to control risk.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387971 | minute: 20