Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	0	3	3	-	-	-	1.7	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	-	-	-	2.1	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.38	3.4	3	1.36	1.3	1.53	-	-	1.36	3.2	2.08	1.73	3.75	1.28

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +9.0% | EV +27.0% | ROI -3.0% | n=1461 | k=3.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.5% | EV +5.4% | ROI +3.8% | n=1461 | k=1.53

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.2% | ROI +23.3% | n=1461 | k=1.73

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.0% | EV -3.3% | ROI +29.9% | n=1461 | k=3.20

AI-agent: At 25 minutes into the Lorient vs Strasbourg match, Lorient leads 1-0. Market pressure favors the away side, with odds for Strasbourg's win dropping by 29% from pre-match levels, reflecting current score dynamics. However, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team, and recent play shows Strasbourg applying more pressure. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not confirm a profitable edge, with a negative ROI of -3.0%. The model suggests a potential value bet on Strasbourg to win at odds of 3.00 with a positive expected value and edge, but entry conditions based on current match tempo and stats are not met, so no bet is advised now. This is a watch situation, not a mandatory entry, and risk should be managed carefully if considering a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387971 | minute: 25