Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	4	1	3	4	-	2.6	1.95	1.57	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	-	-	-	2.35	1.9	1.48

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.5	4.33	6	1.12	1.2	2.5	-	-	1.07	9	1.4	3	2.2	1.67

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +6.5% | EV +39.0% | ROI +0.4% | n=490 | k=6.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +5.8% | EV +14.5% | ROI +0.5% | n=490 | k=2.50

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.1% | EV +7.8% | ROI +4.3% | n=490 | k=1.90

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +2.7% | ROI +23.7% | n=490 | k=3.00

AI-agent: At 30 minutes into the Lorient vs Strasbourg match, Lorient leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is clearly favoring the home side, reflected by a 29% drop in odds from pre-match levels, although shot data does not strongly confirm dominance. The hosts are more active compared to their last meeting, while Strasbourg is underperforming. Historical data shows a slight edge for an away win with a 16.7% probability and a modest ROI of 0.4%, supported by a solid sample size of 490 matches. The model currently favors a Strasbourg win with an attractive odds of 6.00 and an expected value of +39.0%, but the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and match stats are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. The top-4 market signals also suggest watching rather than betting, emphasizing risk control in this situation.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387971 | minute: 30