Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	4	1	3	4	-	2.75	2.02	1.57	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	-	-	-	2.35	1.82	1.43

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.53	4	6	1.12	1.22	2.38	-	-	1.1	7	1.53	2.5	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +6.3% | EV +38.0% | ROI -5.5% | n=508 | k=6.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +5.3% | EV +12.5% | ROI -4.2% | n=508 | k=2.38

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.0% | EV +7.3% | ROI +2.0% | n=508 | k=1.82

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.5% | ROI +11.2% | n=508 | k=2.50

AI-agent: At 34 minutes, Lorient leads Strasbourg 1-0 in this Ligue 1 match. The market increasingly favors the home side, with odds dropping 27% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current advantage. However, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team, though Lorient has been more active recently. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not confirm a reliable edge for an away win, despite the model indicating a potential value bet on Strasbourg at odds of 6.00 with positive expected value. Since the entry conditions based on score, tempo, and match stats are not fully met, this remains a watch situation rather than a firm betting opportunity. Caution is advised given the mixed signals and historical ROI below zero.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387971 | minute: 34