Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	8	3	5	7	-	2.85	2	1.57	-	-
Away	0	0	0	4	2	2	4	-	-	-	2.35	1.85	1.4

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.44	4	8	1.08	1.22	2.62	-	-	1.2	4.5	1.93	1.93	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.5% | ROI +21.7% | n=473 | k=1.92

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.5% | EV +6.5% | ROI +3.7% | n=473 | k=1.85

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +4.6% | EV +12.0% | ROI -1.8% | n=473 | k=2.62

4) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -0.0% | EV -0.1% | ROI +1.5% | n=473 | k=4.00

AI-agent: At the 50th minute with Lorient leading 1-0, the market is increasingly favoring the home side, reflected by a 31% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lorient has been more active in shots and applying pressure recently, matching the scoreline. However, historical data for similar situations is weak and shows a negative ROI, so the confidence in a guest win is low despite a model edge of +5.2%. The top-4 markets suggest watching under 2.5 goals or Asian handicap +1 for the away team, but no strong bet is confirmed yet. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity, and risk control is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387971 | minute: 50