Match Replay

Step 55 of 83. Current minute: 66 .

Pause Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 55 of 83 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	11	6	5	8	-	3.45	2.05	1.57	-	-
Away	1	0	0	6	3	3	4	-	-	-	2.35	1.8	1.3

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.36	4	12	1.04	1.22	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.45	2.67

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.3% | EV +7.8% | ROI -3.4% | n=176 | k=1.80

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +4.4% | EV +13.2% | ROI -14.8% | n=176 | k=3.00

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.4% | EV +1.1% | ROI +1.8% | n=176 | k=2.67

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.6% | EV +2.5% | ROI -22.7% | n=176 | k=4.00

AI-agent: At 66 minutes with Lorient leading 2-1, the market shows increased confidence in the home side, reflected by a 35% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lorient has been more active in shots and applying pressure in the recent phase, aligning with the current scoreline. Historical data for similar situations is weak and shows a negative ROI for the double chance X2 (draw or Strasbourg win), despite a model edge of +4.4% and EV of +13.2%. However, this edge does not meet the minimum threshold for a bet, so this is a watch situation rather than a clear entry. The top-4 markets also suggest monitoring with no strong bet signals, emphasizing risk control in this close match.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387971 | minute: 66