Match Replay

Step 63 of 83. Current minute: 76 .

Pause Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 63 of 83 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	12	6	6	8	-	3.7	1.9	1.57	-	-
Away	1	0	0	7	3	4	4	-	-	-	2.35	1.95	1.26

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.25	4.75	23	1.01	1.17	3.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.8	2.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +8.4% | EV +16.4% | ROI +1.6% | n=187 | k=1.95

2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.7% | ROI +14.0% | n=187 | k=2.05

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +6.1% | EV +22.7% | ROI -17.8% | n=187 | k=3.75

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.3% | EV +1.5% | ROI -13.6% | n=187 | k=4.75

AI-agent: At the 76th minute with Lorient leading 2-1, the market shows increased confidence in the home side, reflected by a 40% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lorient has been more active in shots and pressure, especially in the recent phase, aligning well with the current score. Historical data for similar situations supports a slight edge on Strasbourg with the +1 away handicap, showing positive ROI and expected value. However, the model has not triggered a confirmed entry due to current match dynamics, so this remains a watch situation. Among top markets, the best candidate is AH_AWAY+1 with an 8.4% edge and 16.4% EV, but risk control advises monitoring rather than betting now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387971 | minute: 76