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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	9	4	5	7	-	1.4	2	1.57	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	4	-	-	-	2.35	1.85	2.85

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.06	11	29	1.01	1.05	10	-	-	-	-	1.3	3.5	2.42	1.52

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +27.1% | EV +54.3% | ROI +59.5% | n=158 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +2.5% | ROI +17.4% | n=158 | k=3.50

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -2.3% | ROI +9.1% | n=158 | k=1.52

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.4% | EV -2.0% | ROI -4.3% | n=158 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At 61 minutes with Lorient leading 2-0 against Strasbourg, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 49% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lorient has shown more activity in shots and overall tempo, aligning with the current scoreline. Historical data supports a bet on Lorient with a -1 handicap, showing an 88.5% win rate and a solid ROI of 59.5%. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +27.1% and expected value over 54%, although no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. This is the best value bet here, but as always, risk management is advised. Other markets like under 2.5 goals are less compelling and currently only worth monitoring rather than betting.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387971 | minute: 61