Match Replay

Step 28 of 63. Current minute: 39 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	1	4	1	-	1.93	2.35	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	-	1.57	1.93

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.67	3.25	6	1.12	1.33	2.1	-	-	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.67	2.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +13.4% | EV +80.6% | ROI +106.2% | n=256 | k=6.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +26.9% | EV +51.7% | ROI +74.5% | n=256 | k=1.92

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +13.1% | EV +27.6% | ROI +38.6% | n=256 | k=2.10

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +10.7% | EV +16.8% | ROI +28.6% | n=256 | k=1.57

AI-agent: At 39 minutes with the score tied at 1-1 between Lyon and Auxerre, the market shows increased confidence in a draw, with odds dropping 19% from pre-match levels. Lyon, the pre-match favorite, maintains a slight edge in shots, but recent play lacks sustained pressure from either side. Historical data supports a strong advantage for the away handicap +1.5, showing over 90% win rate and a high ROI of 74.5%, yet the model has not triggered a bet due to current match dynamics. The top-4 markets suggest watching the away handicap +1.5 with a notable edge and expected value, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, emphasizing cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 39