Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	9	3	6	3	-	1.93	2.75	1.23	-	-
Away	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	-	-	4	1.43	1.93

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.8	2.88	6.5	1.11	1.36	1.91	-	-	-	-	1.22	4.33	2	1.85

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +28.5% | EV +54.8% | ROI +76.7% | n=293 | k=1.92

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +10.8% | EV +20.7% | ROI +28.4% | n=293 | k=1.91

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +3.7% | EV +6.9% | ROI +13.7% | n=293 | k=1.85

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +6.2% | EV +8.8% | ROI +20.4% | n=293 | k=1.42

AI-agent: At 46 minutes with the score tied 1-1 between Lyon and Auxerre, the market is leaning towards a draw, reflected by a 28% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon, the pre-match favorite, shows dominance in shots and tempo, especially in the recent phase, but the game remains balanced. Historical data for similar situations strongly supports an away handicap +1.5 with a 91.8% win rate and a high ROI of 76.7%, indicating value. The best model suggestion is to back AH_AWAY+1.5 at odds of 1.93, showing a strong edge and expected value; however, the entry conditions are not fully met yet, so this is a watch situation. Overall, this is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, with the market and history suggesting potential but requiring caution and risk control.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 46