Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	8	3	5	3	-	1.93	2.75	1.21	-	-
Away	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	-	-	4.25	1.43	1.93

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.8	2.75	7	1.1	1.4	1.91	-	-	-	-	1.25	4	2.1	1.73

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +31.8% | EV +61.2% | ROI +76.3% | n=321 | k=1.92

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +10.7% | EV +20.4% | ROI +30.2% | n=321 | k=1.91

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +9.3% | EV +13.3% | ROI +20.6% | n=321 | k=1.42

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.7% | EV +4.7% | ROI +18.9% | n=321 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At 51 minutes with the score tied 1-1 between Lyon and Auxerre, the market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 31% from pre-match levels. Lyon, the pre-match favorite, maintains shot dominance, but recent play shows no sustained pressure from either side. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1.5 with a 91.6% win rate and 76.3% ROI over 321 matches. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1.5 as the best bet with a 31.8% edge and 61.2% expected value, but entry conditions are not yet met due to current match dynamics. Top-4 markets suggest watching AH_AWAY+1.5 and other options rather than placing a bet now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory wager. Caution is advised given the balanced tempo and scoreline.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 51