Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	9	4	5	5	-	1.93	3.1	1.22	-	-
Away	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	-	-	4.15	1.35	1.93

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.83	2.62	7	1.1	1.44	1.83	-	-	-	-	1.28	3.75	2.3	1.6

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +33.1% | EV +63.7% | ROI +78.5% | n=344 | k=1.92

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +9.6% | EV +17.5% | ROI +32.1% | n=344 | k=1.83

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +3.3% | EV +12.2% | ROI +33.0% | n=344 | k=3.75

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +3.2% | ROI +18.1% | n=344 | k=1.60

AI-agent: At the 55th minute with the score tied at 1-1, the market shows strong support for a draw, with odds dropping 34% from pre-match levels. Lyon, the pre-match favorite, maintains pressure and more shots, indicating control despite the equal score. Historical data for similar situations strongly favors the away team with a +1.5 Asian Handicap, showing a 92.7% win rate and a high ROI of 78.5%. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1.5 as the best candidate with a 33.1% edge and 63.7% expected value, but the entry conditions based on current score and tempo are not yet met. Top-4 markets suggest watching AH_AWAY+1.5 and other cautious options, signaling a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet. This approach balances potential value with risk control given the live game dynamics and historical trends.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 55