Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	9	4	5	5	-	2.42	1.38	1.24	-	-
Away	1	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	3.9	3	1.52

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.14	6.5	29	1.01	1.11	5.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.53	2.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +11.4% | EV +62.7% | ROI +27.4% | n=361 | k=5.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.0% | EV +42.1% | ROI +13.4% | n=361 | k=3.00

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.6% | EV +2.4% | ROI +84.5% | n=361 | k=1.52

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +3.7% | EV +9.2% | ROI +14.6% | n=361 | k=2.50

AI-agent: At 65 minutes with Lyon leading 2-1, the market increasingly favors the home side, reflected by a 31% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon confirms their attacking edge with more shots, though recent play shows no sustained pressure from either team. Historical data supports a strong value on the away handicap +1, with a 94.8% win rate and 13.4% ROI over 361 matches. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1 as the best bet with a 14% edge and 42.1% expected value, but the entry conditions are not yet met given the current score and match tempo. Top-4 markets suggest watching rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory stake. Caution and risk control are advised before committing to this handicap bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 65