Match Replay

Step 53 of 63. Current minute: 79 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	11	6	5	5	-	2.5	2.05	1.24	-	-
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	1	-	-	-	3.9	1.75	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	26	101	1.01	1.01	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.7% | EV +67.1% | ROI +90.5% | n=65 | k=2.05

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +41.5% | EV +103.7% | ROI +115.4% | n=65 | k=2.50

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -38.6% | EV -67.6% | ROI -86.2% | n=65 | k=1.75

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -48.2% | EV -72.2% | ROI -79.2% | n=65 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At the 79th minute with Lyon leading 3:1 against Auxerre, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 39% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon's advantage in shots confirms their dominance, though recent play shows no sustained pressure from either team. Historical data for similar situations shows a perfect record for a -1 handicap on Lyon, with a 90.5% ROI and a fair odds of 1.00, confirming strong model confidence. The best betting opportunity is on Lyon -1 handicap with a 32.7% edge and 67.1% expected value, supported by 65 matches in history. However, no new bet is opened now as this position is already covered. This is a favorable scenario for a bet on Lyon -1, but risk control should be maintained given the current game dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 79