Match Replay

Step 56 of 63. Current minute: 84 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	12	6	6	5	-	2.5	2.05	1.24	-	-
Away	1	0	0	7	1	6	1	-	-	-	3.9	1.75	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1	41	301	1.14	1.22	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.0% | EV +67.7% | ROI +94.2% | n=78 | k=2.05

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +41.8% | EV +104.5% | ROI +124.4% | n=78 | k=2.50

3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -29.4% | EV -61.8% | ROI -100.0% | n=78 | k=2.10

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -38.9% | EV -68.1% | ROI -89.7% | n=78 | k=1.75

AI-agent: At the 84th minute, Lyon leads Auxerre 3-1 with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors Lyon, with odds dropping 39% from pre-match levels, confirming their dominance in shots. The historical data for similar situations shows a perfect record for Lyon with a -1 handicap, offering a high ROI of 94.2%. The model confirms a strong edge (+33%) and expected value (+67.7%) for betting on Lyon -1, though no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. The top recommendation is to back Lyon with a -1 handicap, while monitoring the -1.5 line for a potential future opportunity. This is a controlled risk scenario reflecting Lyon's sustained advantage and match flow, but caution is advised as the pressure has stabilized recently.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 84