Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	12	6	6	5	-	6.8	1.35	1.24	-	-
Away	2	0	0	9	2	7	2	-	-	-	3.9	3.25	1.1

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.02	17	451	1.14	1.22	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.1% | EV +13.5% | ROI +1.0% | n=51 | k=3.25

2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -9.0% | EV -12.1% | ROI -1.2% | n=51 | k=1.35

3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -28.9% | EV -60.7% | ROI -91.8% | n=51 | k=2.10

AI-agent: At the 90th minute with Lyon leading 3-2 against Auxerre, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 38% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon confirms their dominance in shots, although Auxerre has applied pressure in the final phase. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a strong bet on Lyon -1.5 handicap, which is no longer available after the 86th minute. The best current model suggestion is Lyon -1.5 with a positive edge and expected value, but the entry window has closed. Top-4 markets recommend watching the away +1 handicap with modest positive expectancy, while other options show negative value. This is a monitoring scenario rather than a clear betting opportunity, and caution is advised given the late stage and scoreline dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 90