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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	1	4	1	-	1.82	1.35	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	-	3.1	2.02

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.22	6	12	1.04	1.12	4	-	-	1.07	9	1.36	3.2	2.1	1.73

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +12.2% | EV +48.6% | ROI +61.1% | n=432 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +10.0% | EV +30.9% | ROI +51.5% | n=432 | k=3.10

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +2.8% | EV +16.9% | ROI +31.9% | n=432 | k=6.00

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +3.4% | EV +10.9% | ROI +12.6% | n=432 | k=3.20

AI-agent: At 22 minutes into the Lyon vs Auxerre match, Lyon leads 1-0 and is showing strong market support with odds dropping 26% from pre-match levels, reflecting their dominance in shots and tempo. Historical data for similar situations favors a double chance on Auxerre (X2) with a 40.3% probability and a solid ROI of 61.1%, confirmed by a reliable sample of 432 matches. The model identifies a positive edge of +12.2% and expected value of +48.6% on X2 at odds of 4.00, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match dynamics. The top markets suggest watching X2, AH_AWAY+1, Draw, and Under 2.5 goals, all showing positive expected returns but no mandatory bets at this stage. This is a monitoring phase to control risk and wait for clearer entry signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 22