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France | Ligue 1 | Lyon - Auxerre | 25.04.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 40'   —   Lyon 1:1 Auxerre
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 7 3 4 2 - 1.93 2.42 - - -
Away 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 - - - - 1.52 1.93
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.73 3.2 6 1.12 1.33 2 - - - - 1.14 5.5 1.73 2.1
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +13.7% | EV +82.2% | ROI +102.3% | n=264 | k=6.00
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +25.6% | EV +49.2% | ROI +75.7% | n=264 | k=1.92
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +11.8% | EV +23.6% | ROI +33.3% | n=264 | k=2.00
4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +7.7% | EV +11.8% | ROI +26.3% | n=264 | k=1.52
AI-agent: At 40 minutes with the score tied at 1-1 between Lyon and Auxerre, the market is leaning towards a draw, with odds dropping 20% from pre-match levels. Lyon maintains a slight edge in shots and overall activity, but no sustained pressure is evident recently. Historical data for similar scenarios strongly favors the away team with Asian Handicap +1.5, showing a 91.3% win rate and a high ROI of 75.7%. The model identifies a promising opportunity on AH_AWAY+1.5 with a 25.6% edge and 49.2% expected value, but the entry conditions based on current match tempo and score are not yet met. Top-4 market signals suggest watching rather than betting now, indicating this is a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry. Caution is advised given the balanced game and absence of red cards.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 40