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France | Ligue 1 | Lyon - Auxerre | 25.04.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 81'   —   Lyon 3:1 Auxerre
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 3 0 0 11 6 5 5 - 2.5 2.05 1.24 - -
Away 1 0 0 5 1 4 1 - - - 3.9 1.75 1.5
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.01 29 101 1.01 1.01 29 - - - - - - - -
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.8% | EV +67.2% | ROI +91.5% | n=70 | k=2.05
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +41.6% | EV +103.9% | ROI +117.9% | n=70 | k=2.50
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -38.7% | EV -67.7% | ROI -87.1% | n=70 | k=1.75
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -48.2% | EV -72.3% | ROI -80.7% | n=70 | k=1.50
AI-agent: At the 81st minute with Lyon leading 3-1 against Auxerre, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 39% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon's dominance in shots confirms their advantage, though recent play shows no sustained pressure from either team. Historical data supports a -1 handicap for Lyon with a perfect win rate in 70 similar matches and a high ROI of 91.5%. The model confirms this bet with a significant edge of +32.8% and expected value of +67.2%, although no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. This is a favorable betting opportunity on Lyon -1, but risk management remains important given the match dynamics. Monitoring other handicap lines is advised, but no alternative bets are recommended currently.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 81