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France | Ligue 1 | Lyon - Auxerre | 25.04.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 90'   —   Lyon 3:2 Auxerre
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 3 0 0 12 6 6 5 - 6.8 1.35 1.24 - -
Away 2 0 0 9 2 7 2 - - - 3.9 3.25 1.1
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.02 17 451 1.14 1.22 2.1 - - - - - - - -
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.1% | EV +13.5% | ROI +1.0% | n=51 | k=3.25
2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -9.0% | EV -12.1% | ROI -1.2% | n=51 | k=1.35
3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -28.9% | EV -60.7% | ROI -91.8% | n=51 | k=2.10
AI-agent: At the 90th minute with Lyon leading 3-2 against Auxerre, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 38% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon confirms their dominance in shots, although Auxerre has applied pressure in the final phase. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a strong bet on Lyon -1.5 handicap, which is no longer available after the 86th minute. The best current model suggestion is Lyon -1.5 with a positive edge and expected value, but the entry window has closed. Top-4 markets recommend watching the away +1 handicap with modest positive expectancy, while other options show negative value. This is a monitoring scenario rather than a clear betting opportunity, and caution is advised given the late stage and scoreline dynamics.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387972 | minute: 90