Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	2.6	2.05	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.8	1.48

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.57	3.75	6	1.12	1.25	2.25	1.06	10	1.28	3.75	1.93	1.93	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +10.2% | EV +61.0% | ROI +115.4% | n=468 | k=6.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.3% | EV +16.3% | ROI +48.1% | n=468 | k=2.25

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.2% | EV +5.8% | ROI +36.8% | n=468 | k=1.80

4) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.4% | ROI -6.6% | n=468 | k=1.92

AI-agent: At 15 minutes into the Marseille vs Nice match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is evident but without a strong pre-match odds drop, confirming the home side's dominance in shots and recent play tempo. Historically, similar situations favor the away team with a 35.9% probability and a strong ROI of 115.4%, supported by a solid sample size of 468 matches. The model identifies a potential value bet on an away win at odds of 6.00 with a 10.2% edge and 61.0% expected value, yet the entry conditions are not fully met due to the current score and match tempo. Top-4 markets suggest monitoring the away win and related bets rather than immediate action, emphasizing risk control in this balanced phase of the game.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 15