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Match Replay

Step 20 of 71. Current minute: 29 .
France | Ligue 1 | Marseille - Nice | 26.04.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 29'   —   Marseille 0:0 Nice
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 1 3 1 - 2.67 2.3 - - -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - 1.6 1.45
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.67 3.4 6 1.12 1.3 2.1 1.11 6.5 1.5 2.5 2.5 1.5 5 1.17
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +10.2% | EV +61.3% | ROI +100.6% | n=311 | k=6.00
2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +6.7% | EV +14.2% | ROI +41.1% | n=311 | k=2.10
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.8% | EV +2.9% | ROI +26.2% | n=311 | k=1.60
4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.2% | ROI +24.5% | n=311 | k=1.45
AI-agent: At 29 minutes into the Marseille vs Nice match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is clearly favoring a draw, as the odds have dropped 14% from pre-match levels. Marseille, the pre-match favorite, is showing more attacking activity and shots, maintaining pressure in the recent phase. However, both teams are playing at a slower tempo compared to their last encounter on 21.11.2025, which ended 1-5 in favor of Nice. Historical data from 311 similar matches supports a 33.4% chance of an away win with a strong ROI of 100.6%, and the fair odds are around 2.99. The model currently identifies an edge of +10.2% and an expected value of +61.3% for a Nice win at odds of 6.00, but the entry conditions are not met yet due to the current score and match dynamics. The top-4 market signals suggest watching the away win and related double chance and Asian handicap bets rather than placing a firm bet now, indicating a monitoring phase with potential but requiring caution and risk control.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 29