Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	9	3	6	3	-	2.67	2.3	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.6	1.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.67	3.2	7	1.1	1.33	2.1	1.14	5.5	1.68	2.15	3.2	1.36	6.5	1.11

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +5.8% | EV +12.1% | ROI +38.2% | n=231 | k=2.10

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.4% | EV +3.9% | ROI +25.6% | n=231 | k=1.60

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.2% | EV +3.2% | ROI +24.9% | n=231 | k=1.45

4) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +1.5% | ROI -10.1% | n=231 | k=1.68

AI-agent: At the 40th minute of the Marseille vs Nice match, the market shows strong support for a draw, with odds dropping 18% from pre-match levels, indicating clear market pressure. Marseille, the pre-match favorite, maintains dominance in shots and tempo, being more active than in their last meeting, while Nice performs below their usual level. Historical data from 231 similar matches suggests a 31.2% chance for an away win with a favorable ROI of 118.2%, confirming a solid edge. The model favors a Nice win at odds of 7.00 with a +9.3% edge and +64.8% expected value, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match dynamics. Top-4 markets recommend watching rather than betting now, highlighting moderate edges and expected values but no strong signals for immediate bets. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory entry, so caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 40