Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	9	3	6	3	-	2.67	2.67	1.24	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	3.9	1.45	1.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.8	3	6	1.12	1.36	1.91	1.2	4.5	1.9	1.95	3.75	1.28	9	1.07

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +10.1% | EV +60.9% | ROI +66.7% | n=198 | k=6.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +5.5% | EV +10.5% | ROI +29.2% | n=198 | k=1.91

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +6.1% | EV +8.9% | ROI +28.9% | n=198 | k=1.45

4) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.5% | EV +4.8% | ROI -9.8% | n=198 | k=1.90

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, the match between Marseille and Nice remains goalless with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 21% from pre-match levels, yet Marseille maintains offensive dominance in shots and tempo. Historical data shows a strong edge for an away win in similar scenarios, with a 27.8% probability and a 66.7% ROI, supported by 198 matches. The model suggests a potential bet on an away victory at odds of 6.00 with a 10.1% edge and 60.9% expected value, but entry conditions are not fully met due to current score and match dynamics. The top-4 markets recommend watching the away win option rather than betting now, emphasizing risk control and monitoring rather than immediate action.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 45