Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	9	3	6	3	-	2.67	2.67	1.24	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	3.9	1.45	1.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.8	3	6	1.12	1.36	1.91	1.2	4.5	1.9	1.95	3.75	1.28	9	1.07

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +10.1% | EV +60.9% | ROI +66.7% | n=198 | k=6.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +5.5% | EV +10.5% | ROI +29.2% | n=198 | k=1.91

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +6.1% | EV +8.9% | ROI +28.9% | n=198 | k=1.45

4) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.5% | EV +4.8% | ROI -9.8% | n=198 | k=1.90

AI-agent: At halftime in Marseille vs Nice, the market shows strong support for a draw with odds dropping 21% from pre-match levels, reflecting clear market pressure. Marseille, the pre-match favorite, leads in shots and tempo, showing more activity than in their last meeting, while Nice is underperforming compared to their usual level. Historical data from 198 similar matches favors an away win with a 27.8% probability and a high ROI of 66.7%, confirming a fair odds estimate around 3.60. The model identifies an edge on an away win with +10.1% and EV +60.9%, but the entry condition is not met yet due to current score and match dynamics. The top-4 markets suggest watching the away win and related bets rather than placing a mandatory bet now, emphasizing cautious monitoring and risk control.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 45