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Match Replay

Step 35 of 71. Current minute: 49 .
France | Ligue 1 | Marseille - Nice | 26.04.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 49'   —   Marseille 0:0 Nice
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 9 3 6 3 - 2.67 2.67 1.24 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 3.9 1.45 1.45
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.8 2.88 6 1.12 1.36 1.91 1.2 4.5 1.93 1.93 4 1.25 9 1.07
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +9.8% | EV +58.8% | ROI +69.1% | n=181 | k=6.00
2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +6.1% | EV +11.6% | ROI +31.8% | n=181 | k=1.91
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +9.0% | EV +13.1% | ROI +31.4% | n=181 | k=1.45
4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.7% | EV +5.3% | ROI +21.7% | n=181 | k=1.45
AI-agent: At the 49th minute of the Marseille vs Nice match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is clearly favoring a draw, as the odds have dropped 28% from pre-match levels, reflecting strong market consensus. Marseille, the pre-match favorite, continues to show dominance in shots and tempo, being more active than in their last meeting, while Nice is underperforming compared to their usual level. Historical data from 181 similar matches supports an away win (Nice) with a 28.2% probability and a high ROI of 69.1%, confirming a fair odds level around 3.55. The model identifies a promising edge (+9.8%) and expected value (+58.8%) for a Nice win at odds of 6.00, but the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and match stats are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. The top-4 markets also suggest watching rather than betting, indicating this is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory entry, with risk control recommended given the match dynamics and historical context.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 49