Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.15	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.68	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.67	3.75	5	1.17	1.25	2.1	1.05	11	1.25	4	1.8	2	3	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +11.4% | EV +56.9% | ROI +80.9% | n=633 | k=5.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +8.0% | EV +16.8% | ROI +36.4% | n=633 | k=2.10

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +0.7% | EV +1.2% | ROI +27.2% | n=633 | k=1.68

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.4% | ROI +0.7% | n=633 | k=1.80

AI-agent: At 6 minutes into the Marseille vs Nice match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is neutral without strong odds drops from pre-match levels, and shot data does not clearly favor either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, which also stood 0-0 at this stage before finishing 1-5. Historical data from 633 similar matches shows a 36.2% probability and an 80.9% ROI favoring an away win, with a fair odds estimate of 2.76. The model currently identifies an edge of +11.4% and an expected value of +56.9% on a Nice win at odds of 5.00, but the entry criteria based on current score, tempo, and match stats are not yet met. Top-4 markets suggest watching the away win and related double chance and Asian handicap bets, while avoiding over 2.5 goals due to negative expected value. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control and waiting for clearer confirmation before entering.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 6