Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	12	3	9	5	-	2.3	1.32	1.23	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	-	-	4.1	3.3	1.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.14	6.5	29	1.01	1.11	5.5	-	-	1.45	2.67	3.1	1.35	8	1.08

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.6% | EV +38.2% | ROI +8.6% | n=133 | k=3.30

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.4% | EV +40.7% | ROI +19.0% | n=133 | k=5.50

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.0% | EV +3.2% | ROI +34.1% | n=133 | k=1.60

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.2% | ROI +69.2% | n=133 | k=3.10

AI-agent: At 61 minutes, Marseille leads Nice 1-0 with no red cards. The market strongly favors Marseille, reflected by a 33% drop in odds from pre-match levels, confirming their dominance in shots. However, recent play shows no sustained pressure from either side, and while Marseille is more active than in previous encounters, the historical data supports a strong advantage for the away handicap +1, with a 90.5% win rate and positive ROI. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1 as the best bet with an 11.6% edge and 38.2% expected value, but entry conditions are not yet met due to current match dynamics. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, so caution is advised despite promising statistics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 61