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Match Replay

Step 49 of 71. Current minute: 66 .
France | Ligue 1 | Marseille - Nice | 26.04.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 66'   —   Marseille 1:0 Nice
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 13 3 10 5 - 2.6 1.4 1.23 - -
Away 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 - - - 4.1 2.85 1.48
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.14 6 29 1.01 1.12 5.5 - - 1.55 2.38 3.75 1.28 11 1.05
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +8.5% | EV +46.6% | ROI +107.2% | n=69 | k=5.50
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +9.8% | EV +27.9% | ROI +43.6% | n=69 | k=2.85
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.5% | EV +2.9% | ROI +82.6% | n=69 | k=6.00
4) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.4% | ROI +7.8% | n=69 | k=1.55
AI-agent: At the 66th minute with Marseille leading 1-0, the market increasingly favors the home team, reflected by a 33% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Marseille confirms their advantage in shots, though recent play shows no sustained pressure from either side. Historical data supports a +1 handicap for Nice with a strong ROI of 43.6%, but the current model has not triggered a bet due to entry rules not being met given the match tempo and score. The top markets suggest watching the double chance on Nice, the +1 handicap, and the draw, all showing positive expected value but no mandatory bet yet. This is a monitoring phase, advising caution and no immediate stake despite promising edges.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 66