Match Replay

Step 60 of 71. Current minute: 84 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	16	4	12	5	-	3.9	1.5	1.23	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	4.1	2.65	1.24

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.09	7.5	67	1	1.08	7	-	-	2.5	1.55	13	1.04	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +15.2% | EV +40.2% | ROI +30.8% | n=48 | k=2.65

2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +22.1% | EV +31.8% | ROI +44.4% | n=48 | k=1.44

3) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.7% | EV +6.6% | ROI -11.5% | n=48 | k=2.50

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -7.2% | EV -11.1% | ROI +0.1% | n=48 | k=1.55

AI-agent: At the 84th minute, Marseille leads Nice 1-0 in a match where the market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 66% from pre-match levels considering the current score. Marseille confirms their pre-match favoritism with more shots, though recent minutes show no sustained pressure from either side. Historical data on similar situations strongly supports under 3.5 total goals with a 100% win rate and a 44.4% ROI, making this the best statistical bet with an edge of +22.1% and expected value of +31.8%. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to entry rules related to the current score, tempo, and match stats. Top-4 markets suggest watching Asian Handicap Away +1 and Under 3.5 goals as promising options, but this remains a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 84