Match Replay

Step 62 of 71. Current minute: 84 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	16	4	12	5	-	4.4	2.15	1.17	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	5	1.68	1.2

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.75	1.61	13	1.04	2.2	1.4	-	-	1.12	6	3.55	1.27	21	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +28.9% | EV +48.3% | ROI +6.5% | n=48 | k=1.68

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.5% | ROI -65.0% | n=48 | k=1.40

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.1% | EV -18.9% | ROI +287.5% | n=48 | k=6.00

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -4.5% | EV -10.0% | ROI +65.0% | n=48 | k=2.20

AI-agent: At the 84th minute, Marseille leads Nice 1-0 with no red cards. The market shows strong support for a draw, with the odds dropping 66% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. Marseille confirms their pre-match favoritism through shot statistics, but recent play lacks sustained pressure from either side. Historical data for away handicap +1 shows a 70.6% win rate and positive ROI, supporting this bet with a fair odds estimate of 1.42. The model favors AH_AWAY+1 with a 28.9% edge and 48.3% expected value, but entry conditions based on current tempo and score are not met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry, emphasizing cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 84