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Match Replay

Step 66 of 71. Current minute: 89 .
France | Ligue 1 | Marseille - Nice | 26.04.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 89'   —   Marseille 1:1 Nice
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 17 4 13 6 - 4.4 2.15 1.38 - -
Away 1 0 0 5 2 3 1 - - - 3.1 1.68 1.2
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
6.5 1.18 15 1.03 4.5 1.11 - - - - 4.5 1.2 2.75 1.44
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +31.2% | EV +52.2% | ROI +62.7% | n=84 | k=1.68
2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +22.1% | EV +31.8% | ROI +44.4% | n=84 | k=1.44
3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.3% | EV +1.4% | ROI -30.4% | n=84 | k=4.50
4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.5% | ROI -30.4% | n=84 | k=4.50
AI-agent: At the 89th minute with the score tied at 1-1, the market strongly supports a draw, reflected by a 69% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Marseille, the pre-match favorite, maintains more shots and is more active overall, though no side is exerting sustained pressure in the final moments. Historical data shows a very strong record for the away handicap +1 bet in similar situations, with 78 wins out of 84 matches and a high ROI of 62.7%. The model favors the away handicap +1 with a 31.2% edge and 52.2% expected value, but the entry window for this bet closed after the 86th minute. Current top-4 market signals recommend watching rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory stake. Caution is advised given the late stage and balanced scoreline.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 89