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France | Ligue 1 | Marseille - Nice | 26.04.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 22'   —   Marseille 0:0 Nice
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 5 1 4 1 - 2.67 2.15 - - -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - 1.68 1.45
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.61 3.5 6 1.12 1.28 2.2 1.1 7 1.45 2.67 2.35 1.57 4.5 1.2
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +10.0% | EV +60.3% | ROI +112.3% | n=390 | k=6.00
2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.8% | EV +17.1% | ROI +46.7% | n=390 | k=2.20
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.0% | EV +1.7% | ROI +30.1% | n=390 | k=1.68
4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.3% | EV -0.8% | ROI +2.4% | n=390 | k=2.35
AI-agent: At 22 minutes into the Marseille vs Nice match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is clear but without a strong pre-match odds drop, confirming the home side's dominance in shots and tempo. Historically, similar situations favor the away team with a 35.4% probability and a strong ROI of 112.3%, supported by 390 matches. The model identifies an edge of +10.0% and an expected value of +60.3% on an away win at odds of 6.00, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match dynamics. Top-4 markets suggest watching the away win and double chance on the away side, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm bet. Caution is advised as this is not a mandatory entry despite promising historical data and model edge.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 22