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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	16	4	12	5	-	3.3	1.48	1.23	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	4.1	2.6	1.32

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.12	6.5	41	1	1.11	6	-	-	2.02	1.82	7	1.1	23	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +8.6% | EV +51.9% | ROI +96.6% | n=58 | k=6.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.0% | EV +31.1% | ROI +31.7% | n=58 | k=2.60

3) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.6% | EV +5.2% | ROI +18.7% | n=58 | k=2.02

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.5% | ROI +5.1% | n=58 | k=1.32

AI-agent: At 77 minutes, Marseille leads Nice 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home team, reflected by a 35% drop in odds from pre-match levels, confirming Marseille's dominance in shots and tempo. Historical data supports a +1 handicap on Nice with a 61.3% win rate and 31.7% ROI, but the model's entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match dynamics. The top-4 markets suggest watching the double chance on Nice or the +1 handicap with positive expected value, but no mandatory bet is advised now. This is a monitoring phase with potential value if conditions improve, so risk control is essential.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 77