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France | Ligue 1 | Marseille - Nice | 26.04.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 84'   —   Marseille 1:0 Nice
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 16 4 12 5 - 3.9 1.5 1.23 - -
Away 0 0 0 3 1 2 1 - - - 4.1 2.65 1.24
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.09 7.5 67 1 1.08 7 - - 2.5 1.55 13 1.04 2.75 1.44
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +15.2% | EV +40.2% | ROI +30.8% | n=48 | k=2.65
2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +22.1% | EV +31.8% | ROI +44.4% | n=48 | k=1.44
3) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.7% | EV +6.6% | ROI -11.5% | n=48 | k=2.50
4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -7.2% | EV -11.1% | ROI +0.1% | n=48 | k=1.55
AI-agent: At the 84th minute, Marseille leads Nice 1-0 in a match where the market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 66% from pre-match levels considering the current score. Marseille confirms their pre-match favoritism with more shots, though recent minutes show no sustained pressure from either side. Historical data on similar situations strongly supports under 3.5 total goals with a 100% win rate and a 44.4% ROI, making this the best statistical bet with an edge of +22.1% and expected value of +31.8%. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to entry rules related to the current score, tempo, and match stats. Top-4 markets suggest watching Asian Handicap Away +1 and Under 3.5 goals as promising options, but this remains a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious risk management.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 84