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France | Ligue 1 | Marseille - Nice | 26.04.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 90'   —   Marseille 1:1 Nice
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 19 5 14 6 - 4.4 2.15 1.38 - -
Away 1 0 0 5 2 3 1 - - - 3.1 1.68 1.2
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.7 3.8 4.75 1.17 1.22 2 - - - - 1.67 2.2 2.75 1.44
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | DRAW | Edge +57.0% | EV +216.6% | ROI +223.2% | n=87 | k=3.80
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +41.1% | EV +90.3% | ROI +87.1% | n=87 | k=2.20
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +40.5% | EV +81.0% | ROI +86.2% | n=87 | k=2.00
4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +30.8% | EV +51.6% | ROI +62.8% | n=87 | k=1.68
AI-agent: At the 90th minute with the score tied 1-1 between Marseille and Nice, the market shows no strong signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels. Marseille, the pre-match favorite, maintains pressure and leads in shots, showing more activity than in their last meeting, while Nice is below their usual level. Historical data from 87 similar matches strongly favors a draw with an 85.1% probability and a high ROI of 223.2%, confirming the model's edge of +57.0% and expected value of +216.6%. However, the betting window for a draw has closed after the 86th minute, so this is a monitoring situation rather than a recommended bet. Other top markets like under 2.5 goals and double chance for Nice also show positive edges but remain watch-only for risk control.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387973 | minute: 90