Match Replay

Step 22 of 70. Current minute: 31 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	1	1	2	-	-	-	-	3	1.9
Away	1	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	1.95	1.38	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
13	5.5	1.25	3.75	1.14	1.04	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.53	2.5	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.6% | EV +34.7% | ROI +46.1% | n=488 | k=3.00

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +9.9% | EV +37.0% | ROI +47.5% | n=488 | k=3.75

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.3% | EV +18.2% | ROI +29.6% | n=488 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.5% | EV +4.8% | ROI +28.1% | n=488 | k=1.90

AI-agent: At 31 minutes into the Paris FC vs Lille match, Lille leads 1-0 and the market is increasingly favoring the away side, with odds dropping 26% from pre-match levels reflecting this advantage. Lille's dominance in shots confirms their edge, though recent play shows no sustained pressure from either team. Historical data supports a positive expected value on a +1 handicap for Paris FC, with a 54.7% win rate and 46.1% ROI over 488 similar matches. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match conditions not meeting entry criteria. This is a watch situation with promising indicators but no mandatory bet recommended now, so risk control is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387974 | minute: 31