Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	1	1	5	-	-	-	-	1.65	1.45
Away	1	0	0	8	3	5	3	-	2.67	2.2	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.75	4	1.7	2	1.22	1.17	-	-	1.25	4	1.73	2.1	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +38.6% | EV +154.4% | ROI +70.4% | n=331 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +40.7% | EV +85.6% | ROI +72.6% | n=331 | k=2.10

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +24.2% | EV +34.9% | ROI +38.3% | n=331 | k=1.44

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +14.0% | EV +20.3% | ROI +11.7% | n=331 | k=1.45

AI-agent: At the 70th minute, Lille leads Paris FC 1-0, reflecting the match dynamics where Lille maintains pressure and shot advantage. The pace is slower than their previous encounter, and historical data supports a strong likelihood of under 2.5 goals with an 82.2% probability and a 72.6% ROI. The model favors under 2.5 goals with a significant edge and expected value, but the entry conditions based on current score and tempo are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. Top-4 markets suggest monitoring under 1.5 and 2.5 goals with good expected returns, indicating a watchful approach rather than a mandatory bet to manage risk effectively.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387974 | minute: 70