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France | Ligue 1 | Paris FC - Lille | 26.04.2026 | 20:15:00 | LIVE 82'   —   Paris FC 0:1 Lille
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 6 2 4 6 - - - - 2.45 1.24
Away 1 0 0 9 4 5 3 - 3.9 1.57 - - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
51 6.5 1.11 6.5 1.11 1 - - 2.4 1.6 11 1.05 2.75 1.44
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +37.7% | EV +92.4% | ROI +12.5% | n=271 | k=2.45
2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +24.2% | EV +35.0% | ROI +43.9% | n=271 | k=1.44
3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.3% | EV -3.7% | ROI +2.1% | n=271 | k=1.60
4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -4.5% | ROI -13.2% | n=271 | k=2.40
AI-agent: At the 82nd minute with Lille leading 1-0, the market strongly favors the visitors, reflected by a 35% drop in odds since pre-match. Lille confirms their advantage in shots, though Paris FC is applying pressure in the final phase. Historical data supports a home handicap +1 bet with a positive ROI of 12.5% and a 56% win rate, indicating value. The model sees a strong edge (+37.7%) and expected value (+92.4%) for AH_HOME+1 at odds of 2.45, but the entry conditions are not fully met due to current match dynamics. Top-4 markets suggest watching AH_HOME+1 and under 3.5 goals, but no mandatory bets now. This is a monitoring situation with potential upside if conditions improve.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387974 | minute: 82