Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	1.68	1.75	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	-	-	2.05	2.15

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.18	6.5	15	1.03	1.11	4.5	-	-	1.06	10	1.33	3.4	2.02	1.82

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.1% | EV +63.3% | ROI +58.2% | n=128 | k=4.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.5% | EV +3.2% | ROI +37.7% | n=128 | k=2.15

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.8% | EV +3.1% | ROI -8.2% | n=128 | k=1.75

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.1% | ROI -3.0% | n=128 | k=1.82

AI-agent: At 22 minutes into the Rennes vs Nantes match, Rennes leads 1-0, but the market shows stronger support for Nantes with odds dropping 20% since pre-match. Despite the scoreline, there is no clear dominance in shots or sustained pressure from either side, and both teams are playing at a slower tempo compared to their last meeting. Historical data for similar situations favors Nantes or a draw with a 35.2% probability and a strong ROI of 58.2%. The model identifies a promising value bet on Nantes double chance (X2) at 4.50 odds with an edge of +14.1% and expected value of +63.3%, but the entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not yet met. Top-4 markets recommend monitoring this X2 option rather than placing a bet now, emphasizing risk control in this balanced scenario.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387975 | minute: 22