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Match Replay

Step 20 of 71. Current minute: 27 .
France | Ligue 1 | Rennes - Nantes | 26.04.2026 | 20:15:00 | LIVE 27'   —   Rennes 1:0 Nantes
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 - 1.7 1.75 - - -
Away 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - - - 2.05 2.1
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.18 6.5 15 1.03 1.11 4.5 - - 1.08 8 1.4 3 2.2 1.67
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.1% | EV +63.3% | ROI +64.0% | n=129 | k=4.50
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.7% | EV +3.5% | ROI +31.9% | n=129 | k=2.10
3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.1% | EV +2.0% | ROI -8.5% | n=129 | k=1.75
4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +2.5% | ROI -25.6% | n=129 | k=3.00
AI-agent: At 27 minutes, Rennes leads 1-0 against Nantes, but the market shows stronger confidence in the away side with odds dropping 20% from pre-match levels. Despite the scoreline, there is no clear dominance in shots or sustained pressure from either team, and the current play resembles their previous encounter where the score was 0-0 at this stage and ended 2-2. Historical data supports a double chance on Nantes (X2) with a +36.4% probability and a strong ROI of +64.0%, suggesting value at odds of 4.50. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match dynamics not meeting entry criteria. The top-4 markets recommend monitoring this X2 option carefully, as it offers the best edge (+14.1%) and expected value (+63.3%), but this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, so risk control remains important.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387975 | minute: 27