Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	0	-	1.73	1.75	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	-	-	2.05	2.08

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.18	6.5	17	1.02	1.11	4.5	-	-	1.1	7	1.5	2.62	2.38	1.57

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +12.8% | EV +57.6% | ROI +81.3% | n=134 | k=4.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.2% | EV +4.6% | ROI +37.8% | n=134 | k=2.08

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.5% | EV +2.5% | ROI -15.1% | n=134 | k=1.75

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +2.0% | ROI -23.6% | n=134 | k=2.62

AI-agent: At 31 minutes with Rennes leading 1-0, the market shows increased confidence in the home side, reflected by a 20% drop in odds from pre-match levels. However, shot statistics do not clearly favor either team, and recent play lacks sustained pressure from one side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, where Nantes led 1-0 at this stage and the match ended 2-2. Historical data supports a double chance on Nantes (X2) with a strong ROI of 81.3% over 134 matches, and the model indicates a positive edge of +12.8% with an expected value of +57.6%. Despite this, the entry conditions for placing a bet have not yet been met, so this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet. Risk control suggests monitoring the match further before committing stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387975 | minute: 31