Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	0	-	1.82	1.32	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	3	-	-	-	-	3.3	2.02

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.2	6	17	1.02	1.12	4.33	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.57	2.38	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +13.4% | EV +58.0% | ROI +78.6% | n=131 | k=4.33

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.6% | EV +48.2% | ROI +63.5% | n=131 | k=3.30

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.1% | EV +30.8% | ROI +37.4% | n=131 | k=6.00

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.9% | EV +11.9% | ROI +39.1% | n=131 | k=2.02

AI-agent: At 37 minutes, Rennes leads Nantes 1-0, but market pressure is shifting towards the away side with odds dropping 19% from pre-match levels. Despite Rennes' lead, Nantes is more active in shots and recent play favors them, indicating the scoreline doesn't fully reflect the game flow. Historical data for similar situations supports a +1 Asian Handicap on Nantes with a 56.8% win rate and strong ROI of 63.5%, confirming a fair value bet at 1.76 odds. The model shows a positive edge (+14.6%) and expected value (+48.2%) on AH_AWAY+1 at 3.30 odds, but entry conditions based on current score and tempo are not met yet. Top-4 markets suggest monitoring this opportunity rather than immediate betting, emphasizing risk control and waiting for clearer confirmation before placing a stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387975 | minute: 37