Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	4	1	3	1	-	1.85	1.32	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	3	-	-	-	-	3.3	2

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.18	6	17	1.02	1.12	4.5	-	-	1.12	6	1.62	2.25	3	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +13.9% | EV +62.5% | ROI +93.9% | n=123 | k=4.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.8% | EV +48.7% | ROI +70.7% | n=123 | k=3.30

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +4.9% | EV +29.5% | ROI +51.2% | n=123 | k=6.00

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +6.0% | EV +11.9% | ROI +43.1% | n=123 | k=2.00

AI-agent: At the 40th minute, Rennes leads Nantes 1-0, but the market is leaning towards a draw, with odds dropping 29% from pre-match levels considering the current score. Shot statistics do not clearly favor either side, though Nantes has applied pressure recently. Historical data for similar situations supports a +1 handicap for the away team with a 60.2% win rate and strong ROI, but the model's entry conditions are not yet met due to the current match dynamics. The top markets suggest watching the double chance on Nantes, the +1 handicap, and the draw, all showing positive expected value and edge, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm betting opportunity. Caution is advised given the lack of clear dominance despite Rennes' lead.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387975 | minute: 40