Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	2	3	2	-	2.25	2.42	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	6	2	4	3	-	-	-	-	1.52	1.62

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	3.2	6	1.12	1.33	2	-	-	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.73	2.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +16.2% | EV +97.0% | ROI +204.1% | n=123 | k=6.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +15.1% | EV +30.3% | ROI +93.9% | n=123 | k=2.00

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +20.0% | EV +32.5% | ROI +43.1% | n=123 | k=1.62

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.4% | EV +18.9% | ROI +70.7% | n=123 | k=1.52

AI-agent: At the 40th minute with the score tied at 1-1 between Rennes and Nantes, the market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 29% from pre-match levels. Shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, though Nantes has applied more pressure recently. Historical analysis supports a bet on Nantes with a +1.5 Asian Handicap, showing a 71.5% win rate and a strong ROI of 43.1%. The model indicates a positive edge and expected value for this bet, but the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and match stats are not yet met. Top-4 markets suggest watching this opportunity rather than betting immediately, emphasizing risk control in this balanced game scenario.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387975 | minute: 40